Model Makers, Wood vs Patternmakers, Wood AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

low risk

Model Makers, Wood

41 shared · 23 different

core competencies

low risk

Patternmakers, Wood

Side-by-Side Comparison

Model Makers, Wood leads 3–1

Metric	Model Makers, Wood	Patternmakers, Wood
Risk Score	18.5%	24.9%
Risk Tier	Low Risk	Low Risk
Risk Percentile	4th	19th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	4 / 14	4 / 15
Median Salary	$51,850	$52,520
Employment	360	180

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People

Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings

Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events

Thinking Creatively

Scheduling Work and Activities

Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information

Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work

Making Decisions and Solving Problems

MathematicsAI-Vulnerable

Design

Processing Information

Developing Objectives and Strategies

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Model Makers, Wood

28%

total discount

Patternmakers, Wood

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Model Makers, Wood

4 of 14 at risk

87%Maintain pattern records for reference.

83%Issue patterns to designated machine operators.

79%Mark identifying information on patterns, parts, and templates to indicate assembly methods and details.

53%Plan, lay out, and draw outlines of units, sectional patterns, or full-scale mock-ups of products.

45%Read blueprints, drawings, or written specifications, and consult with designers to determine sizes and shapes of patterns and required machine setups.

Patternmakers, Wood

4 of 15 at risk

84%Estimate costs for patternmaking jobs.

78%Read blueprints, drawings, or written specifications to determine sizes and shapes of patterns and required machine setups.

65%Compute dimensions, areas, volumes, and weights.

59%Verify dimensions of completed patterns, using templates, straightedges, calipers, or protractors.

49%Finish completed products or models with shellac, lacquer, wax, or paint.

Wage Comparison

Patternmakers, Wood earns +$670(+1%) vs Model Makers, Wood

Model Makers, WoodPatternmakers, Wood

10th

$24,710$40,730

25th

$40,420$45,450

Median

$51,850$52,520

75th

$80,380$77,410

90th

$95,850$83,330

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Model Makers, Wood2028–2035

Patternmakers, Wood2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Model Makers, Wood has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Patternmakers, Wood.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Model Makers, Wood

$42,253

from $51,850

Patternmakers, Wood

$39,432

from $52,520

After adjusting for AI risk, Model Makers, Wood offers $2,821 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Model

Unique to Patternmakers,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Decision Complexity

Creativity

Social Intelligence

Regulatory Barriers

Model Makers, WoodPatternmakers, Wood

Find transitions from Model Makers, Wood Find transitions from Patternmakers, Wood