Takeover Tracker
18%low risk
Municipal Firefighters
vs

49 shared · 60 different

core competencies

18%low risk
Construction Laborers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMunicipal FirefightersConstruction Laborers
Risk Score17.7%17.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile3th4th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)0 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$59,530$46,730
Employment332K1.1M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Assisting and Caring for Others
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Customer and Personal Service
Public Safety and Security
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Psychology
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Documenting/Recording Information
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Flexibility of Closure

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Municipal Firefighters

37%

total discount

Construction Laborers

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Municipal Firefighters

0 of 15 at risk
39%Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.
39%Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.
33%Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.
31%Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.
17%Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

Construction Laborers

3 of 15 at risk
71%Measure, mark, or record openings or distances to layout areas where construction work will be performed.
70%Operate or maintain air monitoring or other sampling devices in confined or hazardous environments.
68%Read plans, instructions, or specifications to determine work activities.
49%Tend pumps, compressors, or generators to provide power for tools, machinery, or equipment or to heat or move materials, such as asphalt.
47%Control traffic passing near, in, or around work zones.

Wage Comparison

Construction Laborers earns -$12,800(-22%) vs Municipal Firefighters
Municipal FirefightersConstruction Laborers
10th
$34,490$34,200
25th
$44,180$38,100
Median
$59,530$46,730
75th
$77,410$58,910
90th
$101,330$77,530

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Municipal Firefighters2028–2035
Construction Laborers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Municipal Firefighters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Construction Laborers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Municipal Firefighters

$48,993

from $59,530

Construction Laborers

$38,412

from $46,730

After adjusting for AI risk, Municipal Firefighters offers $10,581 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Municipal

0

Unique to Construction

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Municipal FirefightersConstruction Laborers
Find transitions from Municipal FirefightersFind transitions from Construction Laborers