Takeover Tracker
18%low risk
Municipal Firefighters
vs

99 shared · 16 different

core competencies

21%low risk
Forest Firefighters

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMunicipal FirefightersForest Firefighters
Risk Score17.7%21.0%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile3th9th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)0 / 152 / 15
Median Salary$59,530$59,530
Employment332K332K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Medicine and Dentistry
English Language
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Documenting/Recording Information
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Administration and Management
Law and Government
Coaching and Developing Others
Telecommunications
Education and Training
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Municipal Firefighters

37%

total discount

Forest Firefighters

35%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Municipal Firefighters

0 of 15 at risk
39%Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.
39%Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.
33%Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.
31%Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.
17%Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

Forest Firefighters

2 of 15 at risk
76%Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.
74%Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.
49%Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.
49%Maintain fire equipment and firehouse living quarters.
49%Transport personnel and cargo to and from fire areas.

Wage Comparison

Forest Firefighters earns $0(0%) vs Municipal Firefighters
Municipal FirefightersForest Firefighters
10th
$34,490$34,490
25th
$44,180$44,180
Median
$59,530$59,530
75th
$77,410$77,410
90th
$101,330$101,330

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Municipal Firefighters2028–2035
Forest Firefighters2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Municipal Firefighters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Forest Firefighters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Municipal Firefighters

$48,993

from $59,530

Forest Firefighters

$47,029

from $59,530

After adjusting for AI risk, Municipal Firefighters offers $1,964 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Municipal

0

Unique to Forest

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Municipal FirefightersForest Firefighters
Find transitions from Municipal FirefightersFind transitions from Forest Firefighters