Takeover Tracker
18%low risk
Municipal Firefighters
vs

71 shared · 42 different

core competencies

22%low risk
Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMunicipal FirefightersHazardous Materials Removal Workers
Risk Score17.7%22.1%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile3th11th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)0 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$59,530$48,490
Employment332K51K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Assisting and Caring for Others
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Customer and Personal Service
Education and Training
Medicine and Dentistry
Psychology
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Controlling Machines and Processes
Telecommunications
Public Safety and Security
Stamina

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Municipal Firefighters

37%

total discount

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Municipal Firefighters

0 of 15 at risk
39%Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.
39%Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.
33%Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.
31%Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.
17%Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

3 of 15 at risk
86%Record numbers of containers stored at disposal sites, specifying amounts or types of equipment or waste disposed.
77%Comply with prescribed safety procedures or federal laws regulating waste disposal methods.
52%Identify or separate waste products or materials for recycling or reuse.
49%Drive trucks or other heavy equipment to convey contaminated waste to designated sea or ground locations.
47%Load or unload materials into containers or onto trucks, using hoists or forklifts.

Wage Comparison

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers earns -$11,040(-19%) vs Municipal Firefighters
Municipal FirefightersHazardous Materials Removal Workers
10th
$34,490$37,330
25th
$44,180$42,710
Median
$59,530$48,490
75th
$77,410$62,150
90th
$101,330$82,480

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Municipal Firefighters2028–2035
Hazardous Materials Removal Workers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Municipal Firefighters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Hazardous Materials Removal Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Municipal Firefighters

$48,993

from $59,530

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

$37,774

from $48,490

After adjusting for AI risk, Municipal Firefighters offers $11,219 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Municipal

0

Unique to Hazardous

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Municipal FirefightersHazardous Materials Removal Workers
Find transitions from Municipal FirefightersFind transitions from Hazardous Materials Removal Workers