Takeover Tracker
18%low risk
Municipal Firefighters
vs

69 shared · 49 different

core competencies

29%medium risk
Motorboat Operators

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMunicipal FirefightersMotorboat Operators
Risk Score17.7%29.4%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile3th35th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)0 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$59,530$51,880
Employment332K2K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Assisting and Caring for Others
Education and Training
Public Safety and Security
Controlling Machines and Processes
Building and Construction
Documenting/Recording Information
Medicine and Dentistry
Stamina
Psychology
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Performing General Physical Activities
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Municipal Firefighters

37%

total discount

Motorboat Operators

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Municipal Firefighters

0 of 15 at risk
39%Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.
39%Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.
33%Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.
31%Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.
17%Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

Motorboat Operators

5 of 15 at risk
85%Arrange repairs, fuel, and supplies for vessels.
83%Report any observed navigational hazards to authorities.
70%Follow safety procedures to ensure the protection of passengers, cargo, and vessels.
65%Take depth soundings in turning basins.
59%Maintain desired courses, using compasses or electronic navigational aids.

Wage Comparison

Motorboat Operators earns -$7,650(-13%) vs Municipal Firefighters
Municipal FirefightersMotorboat Operators
10th
$34,490$31,970
25th
$44,180$39,860
Median
$59,530$51,880
75th
$77,410$68,490
90th
$101,330$82,330

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Municipal Firefighters2028–2035
Motorboat Operators2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Municipal Firefighters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Motorboat Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Municipal Firefighters

$48,993

from $59,530

Motorboat Operators

$36,643

from $51,880

After adjusting for AI risk, Municipal Firefighters offers $12,350 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Municipal

0

Unique to Motorboat

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Municipal FirefightersMotorboat Operators
Find transitions from Municipal FirefightersFind transitions from Motorboat Operators