Takeover Tracker
18%low risk
Municipal Firefighters
vs

41 shared · 62 different

core competencies

22%low risk
Painters, Construction and Maintenance

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMunicipal FirefightersPainters, Construction and Maintenance
Risk Score17.7%21.9%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile3th11th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)0 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$59,530$48,660
Employment332K224K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Assisting and Caring for Others
Controlling Machines and Processes
Customer and Personal Service
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Documenting/Recording Information
Reaction Time
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Psychology
Public Safety and Security
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Municipal Firefighters

37%

total discount

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Municipal Firefighters

0 of 15 at risk
39%Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.
39%Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.
33%Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.
31%Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.
17%Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

3 of 15 at risk
86%Read work orders or receive instructions from supervisors or homeowners to determine work requirements.
74%Calculate amounts of required materials and estimate costs, based on surface measurements or work orders.
51%Mix and match colors of paint, stain, or varnish with oil or thinning and drying additives to obtain desired colors and consistencies.
49%Smooth surfaces, using sandpaper, scrapers, brushes, steel wool, or sanding machines.
49%Wash and treat surfaces with oil, turpentine, mildew remover, or other preparations, and sand rough spots to ensure that finishes will adhere properly.

Wage Comparison

Painters, Construction and Maintenance earns -$10,870(-18%) vs Municipal Firefighters
Municipal FirefightersPainters, Construction and Maintenance
10th
$34,490$36,680
25th
$44,180$42,510
Median
$59,530$48,660
75th
$77,410$60,270
90th
$101,330$76,550

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Municipal Firefighters2028–2035
Painters, Construction and Maintenance2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Municipal Firefighters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Painters, Construction and Maintenance.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Municipal Firefighters

$48,993

from $59,530

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

$38,028

from $48,660

After adjusting for AI risk, Municipal Firefighters offers $10,965 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Municipal

0

Unique to Painters,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Municipal FirefightersPainters, Construction and Maintenance
Find transitions from Municipal FirefightersFind transitions from Painters, Construction and Maintenance