Takeover Tracker
18%low risk
Municipal Firefighters
vs

36 shared · 71 different

core competencies

32%medium risk
Tire Repairers and Changers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMunicipal FirefightersTire Repairers and Changers
Risk Score17.7%32.3%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile3th52th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)0 / 152 / 15
Median Salary$59,530$37,120
Employment332K107K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Assisting and Caring for Others
Public Safety and Security
Customer and Personal Service
Education and Training
Documenting/Recording Information
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Performing General Physical Activities
Developing and Building Teams
English Language
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Dynamic Strength

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Municipal Firefighters

37%

total discount

Tire Repairers and Changers

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Municipal Firefighters

0 of 15 at risk
39%Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.
39%Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.
33%Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.
31%Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.
17%Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

Tire Repairers and Changers

2 of 15 at risk
70%Identify tire size and ply and inflate tires accordingly.
59%Inspect tire casings for defects, such as holes or tears.
47%Clean and tidy up the shop.
45%Place wheels on balancing machines to determine counterweights required to balance wheels.
45%Reassemble tires onto wheels.

Wage Comparison

Tire Repairers and Changers earns -$22,410(-38%) vs Municipal Firefighters
Municipal FirefightersTire Repairers and Changers
10th
$34,490$29,880
25th
$44,180$33,990
Median
$59,530$37,120
75th
$77,410$43,810
90th
$101,330$48,900

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Municipal Firefighters2028–2035
Tire Repairers and Changers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Municipal Firefighters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Tire Repairers and Changers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Municipal Firefighters

$48,993

from $59,530

Tire Repairers and Changers

$25,138

from $37,120

After adjusting for AI risk, Municipal Firefighters offers $23,856 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Municipal

0

Unique to Tire

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Municipal FirefightersTire Repairers and Changers
Find transitions from Municipal FirefightersFind transitions from Tire Repairers and Changers