Takeover Tracker
23%low risk
Nurse Midwives
vs

77 shared · 9 different

core competencies

28%medium risk
Physician Assistants

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricNurse MidwivesPhysician Assistants
Risk Score22.8%27.9%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile13th29th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 154 / 12
Median Salary$128,790$133,260
Employment8K156K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Coaching and Developing Others
Training and Teaching Others
Handling and Moving Objects
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Sociology and Anthropology
Performing General Physical Activities
Education and Training
Biology
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Nurse Midwives

38%

total discount

Physician Assistants

37%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Nurse Midwives

5 of 15 at risk
87%Document findings of physical examinations.
87%Document patients' health histories, symptoms, physical conditions, or other diagnostic information.
65%Write information in medical records or provide narrative summaries to communicate patient information to other health care providers.
54%Develop and implement individualized plans for health care management.
53%Order and interpret diagnostic or laboratory tests.

Physician Assistants

4 of 12 at risk
86%Order medical and laboratory supplies and equipment.
74%Administer or order diagnostic tests, such as x-ray, electrocardiogram, and laboratory tests.
64%Obtain, compile and record patient medical data, including health history, progress notes and results of physical examination.
54%Make tentative diagnoses and decisions about management and treatment of patients.
50%Interpret diagnostic test results for deviations from normal.

Wage Comparison

Physician Assistants earns +$4,470(+3%) vs Nurse Midwives
Nurse MidwivesPhysician Assistants
10th
$74,670$95,240
25th
$104,260$113,770
Median
$128,790$133,260
75th
$146,520$160,160
90th
$177,040$182,200

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Nurse Midwives20282035
Physician Assistants20282035
20242030203520402045

Nurse Midwives has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Physician Assistants.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Nurse Midwives

$99,465

from $128,790

Physician Assistants

$96,147

from $133,260

After adjusting for AI risk, Nurse Midwives offers $3,317 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Nurse

0

Unique to Physician

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Nurse MidwivesPhysician Assistants