Takeover Tracker
27%medium risk
Nurse Practitioners
vs

64 shared · 27 different

core competencies

27%medium risk
Exercise Physiologists

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricNurse PractitionersExercise Physiologists
Risk Score27.3%27.4%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile26th26th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$129,210$58,160
Employment307K8K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing General Physical Activities
Medicine and Dentistry
Documenting/Recording Information
Assisting and Caring for Others
Therapy and Counseling
Psychology
Developing and Building Teams
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Science
Sociology and Anthropology
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Nurse Practitioners

38%

total discount

Exercise Physiologists

35%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Nurse Practitioners

4 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain complete and detailed records of patients' health care plans and prognoses.
52%Prescribe medications based on efficacy, safety, and cost as legally authorized.
51%Analyze and interpret patients' histories, symptoms, physical findings, or diagnostic information to develop appropriate diagnoses.
51%Develop treatment plans, based on scientific rationale, standards of care, and professional practice guidelines.
49%Prescribe medication dosages, routes, and frequencies, based on such patient characteristics as age and gender.

Exercise Physiologists

5 of 15 at risk
59%Measure amount of body fat, using such equipment as hydrostatic scale, skinfold calipers, or tape measures.
55%Develop exercise programs to improve participant strength, flexibility, endurance, or circulatory functioning, in accordance with exercise science standards, regulatory requirements, and credentialing requirements.
54%Prescribe individualized exercise programs, specifying equipment such as treadmill, exercise bicycle, ergometers, or perceptual goggles.
52%Interpret exercise program participant data to evaluate progress or identify needed program changes.
51%Plan or conduct exercise physiology research projects.

Wage Comparison

Exercise Physiologists earns -$71,050(-55%) vs Nurse Practitioners
Nurse PractitionersExercise Physiologists
10th
$97,960$40,930
25th
$109,940$48,650
Median
$129,210$58,160
75th
$149,570$65,430
90th
$169,950$79,830

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Nurse Practitioners2028–2035
Exercise Physiologists2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Nurse Practitioners has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Exercise Physiologists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Nurse Practitioners

$93,936

from $129,210

Exercise Physiologists

$42,207

from $58,160

After adjusting for AI risk, Nurse Practitioners offers $51,729 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Nurse

0

Unique to Exercise

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Nurse PractitionersExercise Physiologists
Find transitions from Nurse PractitionersFind transitions from Exercise Physiologists