Takeover Tracker
vs

48 shared · 19 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricOccupational Therapy AidesChildcare Workers
Risk Score24.2%21.7%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile17th11th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 152 / 15
Median Salary$37,370$32,050
Employment5K520K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Getting Information
Documenting/Recording Information
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates
Processing Information
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Analyzing Data or Information
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Psychology
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Assisting and Caring for Others
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Occupational Therapy Aides

32%

total discount

Childcare Workers

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Occupational Therapy Aides

5 of 15 at risk
84%Perform clerical, administrative, and secretarial duties, such as answering phones, restocking and ordering supplies, filling out paperwork, and scheduling appointments.
80%Report to supervisors or therapists, verbally or in writing, on patients' progress, attitudes, attendance, and accomplishments.
78%Assist educational specialists or clinical psychologists in administering situational or diagnostic tests to measure client's abilities or progress.
68%Observe patients' attendance, progress, attitudes, and accomplishments and record and maintain information in client records.
53%Prepare and maintain work area, materials, and equipment and maintain inventory of treatment and educational supplies.

Childcare Workers

2 of 15 at risk
85%Perform general administrative tasks, such as taking attendance, editing internal paperwork, and making phone calls.
70%Keep records on individual children, including daily observations and information about activities, meals served, and medications administered.
45%Organize and store toys and materials to ensure order in activity areas.
45%Sterilize bottles and prepare formulas.
41%Sanitize toys and play equipment.

Wage Comparison

Childcare Workers earns -$5,320(-14%) vs Occupational Therapy Aides
Occupational Therapy AidesChildcare Workers
10th
$27,970$22,900
25th
$34,840$28,000
Median
$37,370$32,050
75th
$44,190$36,960
90th
$65,580$44,560

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Occupational Therapy Aides20282035
Childcare Workers20282035
20242030203520402045

Childcare Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Occupational Therapy Aides.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Occupational Therapy Aides

$28,338

from $37,370

Childcare Workers

$25,095

from $32,050

After adjusting for AI risk, Occupational Therapy Aides offers $3,243 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Occupational

0

Unique to Childcare

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Occupational Therapy AidesChildcare Workers