Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPatternmakers, Metal and PlasticCutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score31.6%34.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile48th64th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$54,540$45,590
Employment2K174K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Handling and Moving Objects
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Production and Processing
Design
Engineering and Technology
Controlling Machines and Processes
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Trunk Strength
Performing General Physical Activities
Static Strength

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

24%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
84%Select pattern materials such as wood, resin, and fiberglass.
73%Program computerized numerical control machine tools.
59%Mark identification numbers or symbols onto patterns or templates.
57%Paint or lacquer patterns.
55%Create computer models of patterns or parts, using modeling software.

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
86%Read work orders or production schedules to determine specifications, such as materials to be used, locations of cutting lines, or dimensions and tolerances.
84%Mark identifying data on workpieces.
67%Examine completed workpieces for defects, such as chipped edges or marred surfaces and sort defective pieces according to types of flaws.
65%Start machines, monitor their operations, and record operational data.
53%Set up, operate, or tend machines to saw, cut, shear, slit, punch, crimp, notch, bend, or straighten metal or plastic material.

Wage Comparison

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic earns -$8,950(-16%) vs Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic
Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticCutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
10th
$39,150$35,000
25th
$47,520$38,400
Median
$54,540$45,590
75th
$66,590$52,150
90th
$79,690$62,650

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic20282035
Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
20242030203520402045

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

$37,284

from $54,540

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$29,811

from $45,590

After adjusting for AI risk, Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic offers $7,472 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Patternmakers,

0

Unique to Cutting,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticCutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic