Takeover Tracker
32%medium risk
Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic
vs

47 shared · 13 different

core competencies

24%low risk
Tool and Die Makers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPatternmakers, Metal and PlasticTool and Die Makers
Risk Score31.6%24.1%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile48th17th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 157 / 15
Median Salary$54,540$63,180
Employment2K55K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Mechanical
Design
Handling and Moving Objects
Engineering and Technology
Analyzing Data or Information
Thinking Creatively
Processing Information
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Documenting/Recording Information
Equipment Selection

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Tool and Die Makers

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
84%Select pattern materials such as wood, resin, and fiberglass.
73%Program computerized numerical control machine tools.
59%Mark identification numbers or symbols onto patterns or templates.
57%Paint or lacquer patterns.
55%Create computer models of patterns or parts, using modeling software.

Tool and Die Makers

7 of 15 at risk
63%Inspect finished dies for smoothness, contour conformity, and defects.
59%Verify dimensions, alignments, and clearances of finished parts for conformance to specifications, using measuring instruments such as calipers, gauge blocks, micrometers, or dial indicators.
59%Visualize and compute dimensions, sizes, shapes, and tolerances of assemblies, based on specifications.
59%Select metals to be used from a range of metals and alloys, based on properties such as hardness or heat tolerance.
57%Develop and design new tools and dies, using computer-aided design software.

Wage Comparison

Tool and Die Makers earns +$8,640(+16%) vs Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic
Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticTool and Die Makers
10th
$39,150$44,200
25th
$47,520$51,200
Median
$54,540$63,180
75th
$66,590$77,430
90th
$79,690$87,660

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic2028–2035
Tool and Die Makers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Tool and Die Makers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

$37,284

from $54,540

Tool and Die Makers

$47,979

from $63,180

After adjusting for AI risk, Tool and Die Makers offers $10,695 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Patternmakers,

0

Unique to Tool

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticTool and Die Makers
Find transitions from Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticFind transitions from Tool and Die Makers