Patternmakers, Wood vs Molding and Casting Workers AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

low risk

Patternmakers, Wood

35 shared · 17 different

core competencies

medium risk

Molding and Casting Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

Patternmakers, Wood leads 5–0

Metric	Patternmakers, Wood	Molding and Casting Workers
Risk Score	24.9%	37.0%
Risk Tier	Low Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	19th	72th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	4 / 15	8 / 15
Median Salary	$52,520	$45,690
Employment	180	35K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Design

MathematicsAI-Vulnerable

Mechanical

Performing General Physical Activities

Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment

Controlling Machines and Processes

Engineering and Technology

Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards

Control Precision

Handling and Moving Objects

Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Patternmakers, Wood

25%

total discount

Molding and Casting Workers

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Patternmakers, Wood

4 of 15 at risk

84%Estimate costs for patternmaking jobs.

78%Read blueprints, drawings, or written specifications to determine sizes and shapes of patterns and required machine setups.

65%Compute dimensions, areas, volumes, and weights.

59%Verify dimensions of completed patterns, using templates, straightedges, calipers, or protractors.

49%Finish completed products or models with shellac, lacquer, wax, or paint.

Molding and Casting Workers

8 of 15 at risk

86%Read work orders or examine parts to determine parts or sections of products to be produced.

86%Set the proper operating temperature for each casting.

86%Select sizes and types of molds according to instructions.

61%Engrave or stamp identifying symbols, letters, or numbers on products.

57%Operate and adjust controls of heating equipment to melt material or to cure, dry, or bake filled molds.

Wage Comparison

Molding and Casting Workers earns -$6,830(-13%) vs Patternmakers, Wood

Patternmakers, WoodMolding and Casting Workers

10th

$40,730$34,950

25th

$45,450$38,500

Median

$52,520$45,690

75th

$77,410$51,340

90th

$83,330$61,050

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Patternmakers, Wood2028–2035

Molding and Casting Workers2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Patternmakers, Wood has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Molding and Casting Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Patternmakers, Wood

$39,432

from $52,520

Molding and Casting Workers

$28,808

from $45,690

After adjusting for AI risk, Patternmakers, Wood offers $10,624 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Patternmakers,

Unique to Molding

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity

Social Intelligence

Fine Manipulation

Regulatory Barriers

Patternmakers, WoodMolding and Casting Workers

Find transitions from Patternmakers, Wood Find transitions from Molding and Casting Workers