Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPatternmakers, WoodMolding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score24.9%33.3%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile19th58th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$52,520$41,230
Employment180155K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Design
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Engineering and Technology
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Thinking Creatively
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Mechanical
Control Precision
Manual DexterityAI-Resistant
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Patternmakers, Wood

25%

total discount

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Patternmakers, Wood

4 of 15 at risk
84%Estimate costs for patternmaking jobs.
78%Read blueprints, drawings, or written specifications to determine sizes and shapes of patterns and required machine setups.
65%Compute dimensions, areas, volumes, and weights.
59%Verify dimensions of completed patterns, using templates, straightedges, calipers, or protractors.
49%Finish completed products or models with shellac, lacquer, wax, or paint.

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
86%Observe meters and gauges to verify and record temperatures, pressures, and press-cycle times.
71%Read specifications, blueprints, and work orders to determine setups, temperatures, and time settings required to mold, form, or cast plastic materials, as well as to plan production sequences.
65%Measure and visually inspect products for surface and dimension defects to ensure conformance to specifications, using precision measuring instruments.
63%Observe continuous operation of automatic machines to ensure that products meet specifications and to detect jams or malfunctions, making adjustments as necessary.
61%Turn valves and dials of machines to regulate pressure, temperature, and speed and feed rates, and to set cycle times.

Wage Comparison

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic earns -$11,290(-21%) vs Patternmakers, Wood
Patternmakers, WoodMolding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
10th
$40,730$31,990
25th
$45,450$36,290
Median
$52,520$41,230
75th
$77,410$49,100
90th
$83,330$60,110

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Patternmakers, Wood20282035
Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
20242030203520402045

Patternmakers, Wood has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Patternmakers, Wood

$39,432

from $52,520

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$27,500

from $41,230

After adjusting for AI risk, Patternmakers, Wood offers $11,932 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Patternmakers,

0

Unique to Molding,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Patternmakers, WoodMolding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic