Takeover Tracker
vs

51 shared · 8 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPatternmakers, WoodMultiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score24.9%38.1%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile19th75th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$52,520$46,060
Employment180130K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Operation Monitoring
Thinking Creatively
Design
Documenting/Recording Information

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Patternmakers, Wood

25%

total discount

Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Patternmakers, Wood

4 of 15 at risk
84%Estimate costs for patternmaking jobs.
78%Read blueprints, drawings, or written specifications to determine sizes and shapes of patterns and required machine setups.
65%Compute dimensions, areas, volumes, and weights.
59%Verify dimensions of completed patterns, using templates, straightedges, calipers, or protractors.
49%Finish completed products or models with shellac, lacquer, wax, or paint.

Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

5 of 15 at risk
86%Write programs for computer numerical control (CNC) machines to cut metal and plastic materials.
84%Read blueprints or job orders to determine product specifications and tooling instructions and to plan operational sequences.
67%Compute data, such as gear dimensions or machine settings, applying knowledge of shop mathematics.
57%Inspect workpieces for defects, and measure workpieces to determine accuracy of machine operation, using rules, templates, or other measuring instruments.
53%Observe machine operation to detect workpiece defects or machine malfunctions, adjusting machines as necessary.

Wage Comparison

Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic earns -$6,460(-12%) vs Patternmakers, Wood
Patternmakers, WoodMultiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
10th
$40,730$34,130
25th
$45,450$38,320
Median
$52,520$46,060
75th
$77,410$56,220
90th
$83,330$72,850

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Patternmakers, Wood20282035
Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
20242030203520402045

Patternmakers, Wood has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Patternmakers, Wood

$39,432

from $52,520

Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$28,511

from $46,060

After adjusting for AI risk, Patternmakers, Wood offers $10,921 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Patternmakers,

0

Unique to Multiple

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Patternmakers, WoodMultiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Patternmakers, Wood vs Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic AI Risk — Takeover Tracker