Takeover Tracker
18%low risk
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators
vs

42 shared · 19 different

core competencies

23%low risk
Fence Erectors

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPaving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment OperatorsFence Erectors
Risk Score18.1%23.2%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile4th14th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)0 / 152 / 15
Median Salary$51,650$46,940
Employment46K23K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Controlling Machines and Processes
Public Safety and Security
Transportation
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Mechanical
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Handling and Moving Objects
Dynamic Strength
Training and Teaching Others
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Making Decisions and Solving Problems

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

25%

total discount

Fence Erectors

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

0 of 15 at risk
45%Light burners or start heating units of machines, and regulate screed temperatures and asphalt flow rates.
41%Start machine, engage clutch, and push and move levers to guide machine along forms or guidelines and to control the operation of machine attachments.
39%Observe distribution of paving material to adjust machine settings or material flow, and indicate low spots for workers to add material.
39%Fill tanks, hoppers, or machines with paving materials.
37%Shovel blacktop.

Fence Erectors

2 of 15 at risk
74%Establish the location for a fence, and gather information needed to ensure that there are no electric cables or water lines in the area.
74%Measure and lay out fence lines and mark posthole positions, following instructions, drawings, or specifications.
45%Make rails for fences, by sawing lumber or by cutting metal tubing to required lengths.
39%Set metal or wooden posts in upright positions in postholes.
39%Mix and pour concrete around bases of posts, or tamp soil into postholes to embed posts.

Wage Comparison

Fence Erectors earns -$4,710(-9%) vs Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment OperatorsFence Erectors
10th
$38,030$35,090
25th
$44,740$39,040
Median
$51,650$46,940
75th
$66,060$57,070
90th
$90,110$74,660

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators2028–2035
Fence Erectors2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Fence Erectors.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

$42,301

from $51,650

Fence Erectors

$36,041

from $46,940

After adjusting for AI risk, Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators offers $6,261 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Paving,

0

Unique to Fence

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment OperatorsFence Erectors
Find transitions from Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment OperatorsFind transitions from Fence Erectors