Takeover Tracker
vs

54 shared · 10 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPaving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment OperatorsIndustrial Truck and Tractor Operators
Risk Score18.1%45.6%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile4th92th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)0 / 158 / 11
Median Salary$51,650$46,390
Employment46K806K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Controlling Machines and Processes
Mechanical
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Performing General Physical Activities
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Developing and Building Teams
Documenting/Recording Information
Transportation
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

25%

total discount

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

0 of 15 at risk
45%Light burners or start heating units of machines, and regulate screed temperatures and asphalt flow rates.
41%Start machine, engage clutch, and push and move levers to guide machine along forms or guidelines and to control the operation of machine attachments.
39%Observe distribution of paving material to adjust machine settings or material flow, and indicate low spots for workers to add material.
39%Fill tanks, hoppers, or machines with paving materials.
37%Shovel blacktop.

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

8 of 11 at risk
87%Weigh materials or products and record weight or other production data on tags or labels.
63%Manually or mechanically load or unload materials from pallets, skids, platforms, cars, lifting devices, or other transport vehicles.
63%Move controls to drive gasoline- or electric-powered trucks, cars, or tractors and transport materials between loading, processing, and storage areas.
61%Move levers or controls that operate lifting devices, such as forklifts, lift beams with swivel-hooks, hoists, or elevating platforms, to load, unload, transport, or stack material.
61%Inspect product load for accuracy and safely move it around the warehouse or facility to ensure timely and complete delivery.

Wage Comparison

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators earns -$5,260(-10%) vs Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment OperatorsIndustrial Truck and Tractor Operators
10th
$38,030$36,500
25th
$44,740$39,780
Median
$51,650$46,390
75th
$66,060$53,680
90th
$90,110$61,540

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators20282035
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators20282035
20242030203520402045

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

$42,301

from $51,650

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

$25,218

from $46,390

After adjusting for AI risk, Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators offers $17,084 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Paving,

0

Unique to Industrial

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment OperatorsIndustrial Truck and Tractor Operators