Takeover Tracker
vs

53 shared · 9 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPaving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment OperatorsRoustabouts, Oil and Gas
Risk Score18.1%24.0%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile4th17th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)0 / 150 / 15
Median Salary$51,650$47,510
Employment46K45K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Controlling Machines and Processes
Handling and Moving Objects
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Transportation
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

25%

total discount

Roustabouts, Oil and Gas

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

0 of 15 at risk
45%Light burners or start heating units of machines, and regulate screed temperatures and asphalt flow rates.
41%Start machine, engage clutch, and push and move levers to guide machine along forms or guidelines and to control the operation of machine attachments.
39%Observe distribution of paving material to adjust machine settings or material flow, and indicate low spots for workers to add material.
39%Fill tanks, hoppers, or machines with paving materials.
37%Shovel blacktop.

Roustabouts, Oil and Gas

0 of 15 at risk
49%Unscrew or tighten pipes, casing, tubing, and pump rods, using hand and power wrenches and tongs.
49%Move pipes to and from trucks, using truck winches and motorized lifts, or by hand.
49%Dig drainage ditches around wells and storage tanks.
47%Clean trucks used in the fields.
45%Keep pipe deck and main deck areas clean and tidy.

Wage Comparison

Roustabouts, Oil and Gas earns -$4,140(-8%) vs Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment OperatorsRoustabouts, Oil and Gas
10th
$38,030$35,650
25th
$44,740$38,330
Median
$51,650$47,510
75th
$66,060$57,170
90th
$90,110$64,010

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators20282035
Roustabouts, Oil and Gas20282035
20242030203520402045

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Roustabouts, Oil and Gas.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

$42,301

from $51,650

Roustabouts, Oil and Gas

$36,093

from $47,510

After adjusting for AI risk, Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators offers $6,208 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Paving,

0

Unique to Roustabouts,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment OperatorsRoustabouts, Oil and Gas