Takeover Tracker
28%medium risk
Physician Assistants
vs

77 shared · 9 different

core competencies

23%low risk
Nurse Midwives

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPhysician AssistantsNurse Midwives
Risk Score27.9%22.8%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile29th13th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 125 / 15
Median Salary$133,260$128,790
Employment156K8K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Coaching and Developing Others
Training and Teaching Others
Handling and Moving Objects
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Sociology and Anthropology
Performing General Physical Activities
Education and Training
Biology
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Physician Assistants

37%

total discount

Nurse Midwives

38%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Physician Assistants

4 of 12 at risk
86%Order medical and laboratory supplies and equipment.
74%Administer or order diagnostic tests, such as x-ray, electrocardiogram, and laboratory tests.
64%Obtain, compile and record patient medical data, including health history, progress notes and results of physical examination.
54%Make tentative diagnoses and decisions about management and treatment of patients.
50%Interpret diagnostic test results for deviations from normal.

Nurse Midwives

5 of 15 at risk
87%Document findings of physical examinations.
87%Document patients' health histories, symptoms, physical conditions, or other diagnostic information.
65%Write information in medical records or provide narrative summaries to communicate patient information to other health care providers.
54%Develop and implement individualized plans for health care management.
53%Order and interpret diagnostic or laboratory tests.

Wage Comparison

Nurse Midwives earns -$4,470(-3%) vs Physician Assistants
Physician AssistantsNurse Midwives
10th
$95,240$74,670
25th
$113,770$104,260
Median
$133,260$128,790
75th
$160,160$146,520
90th
$182,200$177,040

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Physician Assistants20282035
Nurse Midwives20282035
20242030203520402045

Nurse Midwives has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Physician Assistants.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Physician Assistants

$96,147

from $133,260

Nurse Midwives

$99,465

from $128,790

After adjusting for AI risk, Nurse Midwives offers $3,317 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Physician

0

Unique to Nurse

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Physician AssistantsNurse Midwives