Takeover Tracker
28%medium risk
Physician Assistants
vs

79 shared · 13 different

core competencies

27%medium risk
Nurse Practitioners

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPhysician AssistantsNurse Practitioners
Risk Score27.9%27.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile29th26th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 124 / 15
Median Salary$133,260$129,210
Employment156K307K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Coaching and Developing Others
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Processing Information
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Training and Teaching Others
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Developing and Building Teams
Interacting With Computers
Philosophy and Theology
Sociology and Anthropology
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Communications and Media

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Physician Assistants

37%

total discount

Nurse Practitioners

38%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Physician Assistants

4 of 12 at risk
86%Order medical and laboratory supplies and equipment.
74%Administer or order diagnostic tests, such as x-ray, electrocardiogram, and laboratory tests.
64%Obtain, compile and record patient medical data, including health history, progress notes and results of physical examination.
54%Make tentative diagnoses and decisions about management and treatment of patients.
50%Interpret diagnostic test results for deviations from normal.

Nurse Practitioners

4 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain complete and detailed records of patients' health care plans and prognoses.
52%Prescribe medications based on efficacy, safety, and cost as legally authorized.
51%Analyze and interpret patients' histories, symptoms, physical findings, or diagnostic information to develop appropriate diagnoses.
51%Develop treatment plans, based on scientific rationale, standards of care, and professional practice guidelines.
49%Prescribe medication dosages, routes, and frequencies, based on such patient characteristics as age and gender.

Wage Comparison

Nurse Practitioners earns -$4,050(-3%) vs Physician Assistants
Physician AssistantsNurse Practitioners
10th
$95,240$97,960
25th
$113,770$109,940
Median
$133,260$129,210
75th
$160,160$149,570
90th
$182,200$169,950

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Physician Assistants2028–2035
Nurse Practitioners2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Nurse Practitioners has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Physician Assistants.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Physician Assistants

$96,147

from $133,260

Nurse Practitioners

$93,936

from $129,210

After adjusting for AI risk, Physician Assistants offers $2,211 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Physician

0

Unique to Nurse

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Physician AssistantsNurse Practitioners
Find transitions from Physician AssistantsFind transitions from Nurse Practitioners