Takeover Tracker
vs

50 shared · 14 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPipe Fitters and SteamfittersStructural Metal Fabricators and Fitters
Risk Score17.8%29.4%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile3th35th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$62,970$49,900
Employment456K53K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing General Physical Activities
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Handling and Moving Objects
Active LearningAI-Augmented
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Extent Flexibility
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Oral Comprehension
Public Safety and Security
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Quality Control Analysis

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

29%

total discount

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

24%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

3 of 15 at risk
86%Select pipe sizes, types, or related materials, such as supports, hangers, or hydraulic cylinders, according to specifications.
55%Lay out full scale drawings of pipe systems, supports, or related equipment, according to blueprints.
51%Plan pipe system layout, installation, or repair, according to specifications.
43%Inspect work sites for obstructions or holes that could cause structural weakness.
39%Inspect, examine, or test installed systems or pipe lines, using pressure gauge, hydrostatic testing, observation, or other methods.

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

6 of 15 at risk
63%Set up and operate fabricating machines, such as brakes, rolls, shears, flame cutters, grinders, and drill presses, to bend, cut, form, punch, drill, or otherwise form and assemble metal components.
57%Tack-weld fitted parts together.
57%Lift or move materials and finished products, using large cranes.
53%Study engineering drawings and blueprints to determine materials requirements and task sequences.
53%Lay out and examine metal stock or workpieces to be processed to ensure that specifications are met.

Wage Comparison

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters earns -$13,070(-21%) vs Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters
Pipe Fitters and SteamfittersStructural Metal Fabricators and Fitters
10th
$40,670$37,370
25th
$48,860$44,290
Median
$62,970$49,900
75th
$81,900$59,810
90th
$105,150$70,510

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters20282035
Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters20282035
20242030203520402045

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

$51,774

from $62,970

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

$35,239

from $49,900

After adjusting for AI risk, Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters offers $16,535 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Pipe

0

Unique to Structural

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Pipe Fitters and SteamfittersStructural Metal Fabricators and Fitters