Takeover Tracker
25%medium risk
Police Patrol Officers
vs

70 shared · 28 different

core competencies

27%medium risk
Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPolice Patrol OfficersCriminal Investigators and Special Agents
Risk Score25.2%26.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile20th24th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$76,290$93,580
Employment667K111K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Assisting and Caring for Others
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Reaction Time
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Training and Teaching Others
Performing Administrative Activities
Response Orientation
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Interacting With Computers
Developing and Building Teams
Coaching and Developing Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Police Patrol Officers

37%

total discount

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

38%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Police Patrol Officers

4 of 15 at risk
88%Monitor traffic to ensure motorists observe traffic regulations and exhibit safe driving procedures.
84%Process prisoners, and prepare and maintain records of prisoner bookings and prisoner status during booking and pre-trial process.
84%Relay complaint and emergency-request information to appropriate agency dispatchers.
64%Record facts to prepare reports that document incidents and activities.
47%Monitor, note, report, and investigate suspicious persons and situations, safety hazards, and unusual or illegal activity in patrol area.

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

4 of 15 at risk
70%Obtain and use search and arrest warrants.
69%Prepare reports that detail investigation findings.
57%Examine records to locate links in chains of evidence or information.
53%Identify case issues and evidence needed, based on analysis of charges, complaints, or allegations of law violations.
49%Analyze evidence in laboratories or in the field.

Wage Comparison

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents earns +$17,290(+23%) vs Police Patrol Officers
Police Patrol OfficersCriminal Investigators and Special Agents
10th
$47,640$54,160
25th
$58,980$68,390
Median
$76,290$93,580
75th
$97,190$120,080
90th
$115,280$159,410

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Police Patrol Officers2028–2035
Criminal Investigators and Special Agents2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Police Patrol Officers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Criminal Investigators and Special Agents.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Police Patrol Officers

$57,042

from $76,290

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

$68,557

from $93,580

After adjusting for AI risk, Criminal Investigators and Special Agents offers $11,515 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Police

0

Unique to Criminal

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Police Patrol OfficersCriminal Investigators and Special Agents
Find transitions from Police Patrol OfficersFind transitions from Criminal Investigators and Special Agents