Takeover Tracker
25%medium risk
Police Patrol Officers
vs

56 shared · 37 different

core competencies

23%low risk
Recreation Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPolice Patrol OfficersRecreation Workers
Risk Score25.2%22.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile20th13th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$76,290$35,380
Employment667K310K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Law and Government
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Public Safety and Security
Assisting and Caring for Others
Psychology
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Customer and Personal Service
Telecommunications

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Police Patrol Officers

37%

total discount

Recreation Workers

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Police Patrol Officers

4 of 15 at risk
88%Monitor traffic to ensure motorists observe traffic regulations and exhibit safe driving procedures.
84%Process prisoners, and prepare and maintain records of prisoner bookings and prisoner status during booking and pre-trial process.
84%Relay complaint and emergency-request information to appropriate agency dispatchers.
64%Record facts to prepare reports that document incidents and activities.
47%Monitor, note, report, and investigate suspicious persons and situations, safety hazards, and unusual or illegal activity in patrol area.

Recreation Workers

4 of 15 at risk
86%Complete and maintain time and attendance forms and inventory lists.
86%Schedule maintenance and use of facilities.
84%Document individuals' progress toward meeting their treatment goals.
51%Assess the needs and interests of individuals and groups and plan activities accordingly, given the available equipment or facilities.
49%Evaluate recreation areas, facilities, and services to determine if they are producing desired results.

Wage Comparison

Recreation Workers earns -$40,910(-54%) vs Police Patrol Officers
Police Patrol OfficersRecreation Workers
10th
$47,640$25,640
25th
$58,980$30,460
Median
$76,290$35,380
75th
$97,190$41,120
90th
$115,280$49,460

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Police Patrol Officers2028–2035
Recreation Workers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Recreation Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Police Patrol Officers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Police Patrol Officers

$57,042

from $76,290

Recreation Workers

$27,335

from $35,380

After adjusting for AI risk, Police Patrol Officers offers $29,707 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Police

0

Unique to Recreation

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Police Patrol OfficersRecreation Workers
Find transitions from Police Patrol OfficersFind transitions from Recreation Workers