Takeover Tracker
vs

17 shared · 9 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPostal Service Mail CarriersCleaners of Vehicles and Equipment
Risk Score36.6%39.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile71th80th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)12 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$57,490$35,270
Employment336K374K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Handling and Moving Objects
Customer and Personal Service
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Performing General Physical Activities
Sales and Marketing
Written Comprehension
Operation and Control
Category Flexibility

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Postal Service Mail Carriers

22%

total discount

Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment

19%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Postal Service Mail Carriers

12 of 15 at risk
88%Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.
88%Enter change of address orders into computers that process forwarding address stickers.
88%Maintain accurate records of deliveries.
86%Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.
86%Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment

8 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain inventories of supplies.
63%Inspect parts, equipment, or vehicles for cleanliness, damage, and compliance with standards or regulations.
61%Monitor operation of cleaning machines and stop machines or notify supervisors when malfunctions occur.
59%Press buttons to activate cleaning equipment or machines.
59%Mix cleaning solutions, abrasive compositions, or other compounds, according to formulas.

Wage Comparison

Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment earns -$22,220(-39%) vs Postal Service Mail Carriers
Postal Service Mail CarriersCleaners of Vehicles and Equipment
10th
$42,390$26,740
25th
$46,030$29,790
Median
$57,490$35,270
75th
$75,300$39,630
90th
$76,880$47,150

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Postal Service Mail Carriers20282035
Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment20282035
20242030203520402045

Postal Service Mail Carriers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Postal Service Mail Carriers

$36,437

from $57,490

Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment

$21,261

from $35,270

After adjusting for AI risk, Postal Service Mail Carriers offers $15,176 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Postal

0

Unique to Cleaners

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Postal Service Mail CarriersCleaners of Vehicles and Equipment