Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPostal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine OperatorsLaborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
Risk Score46.4%45.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile94th92th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)11 / 1512 / 15
Median Salary$56,530$38,940
Employment112K3M

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Performing General Physical Activities
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Handling and Moving Objects
Stamina
Static Strength
Controlling Machines and Processes
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators

22%

total discount

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand

23%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators

11 of 15 at risk
88%Search directories to find correct addresses for redirected mail.
88%Weigh articles to determine required postage.
86%Direct items according to established routing schemes, using computer-controlled keyboards or voice-recognition equipment.
85%Check items to ensure that addresses are legible and correct, that sufficient postage has been paid or the appropriate documentation is attached, and that items are in a suitable condition for processing.
63%Move containers of mail, using equipment, such as forklifts and automated "trains".

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand

12 of 15 at risk
88%Record numbers of units handled or moved, using daily production sheets or work tickets.
86%Read work orders or receive oral instructions to determine work assignments or material or equipment needs.
85%Check freight, stock, or other materials for damage.
84%Take inventory of freight, stock, or other materials used on site.
61%Move freight, stock, or other materials to and from storage or production areas, loading docks, delivery vehicles, ships, or containers, by hand or using trucks, tractors, or other equipment.

Wage Comparison

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand earns -$17,590(-31%) vs Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine OperatorsLaborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
10th
$42,600$30,810
25th
$47,380$35,410
Median
$56,530$38,940
75th
$72,970$46,370
90th
$74,050$53,180

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators20282035
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand20282035
20242030203520402045

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators

$30,289

from $56,530

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand

$21,304

from $38,940

After adjusting for AI risk, Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators offers $8,985 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Postal

0

Unique to Laborers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine OperatorsLaborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand