Program Directors vs First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

medium risk

Program Directors

55 shared · 28 different

core competencies

medium risk

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

Program Directors leads 4–1

Metric	Program Directors	First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers
Risk Score	30.8%	34.1%
Risk Tier	Medium Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	43th	62th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	10 / 15	6 / 15
Median Salary	$83,480	$66,140
Employment	145K	1.5M

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Communications and Media

Communicating with Persons Outside Organization

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Thinking Creatively

Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Telecommunications

Getting Information

Developing Objectives and Strategies

Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work

Scheduling Work and Activities

Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events

Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Program Directors

36%

total discount

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

33%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Program Directors

10 of 15 at risk

87%Monitor network transmissions for advisories concerning daily program schedules, program content, special feeds, or program changes.

86%Check completed program logs for accuracy and conformance with Federal Communications Commission (FCC) rules and regulations and resolve program log inaccuracies.

84%Establish work schedules and assign work to staff members.

69%Prepare copy and edit tape so that material is ready for broadcasting.

57%Develop promotions for current programs and specials.

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

6 of 15 at risk

86%Review records or reports pertaining to activities such as production, payroll, or shipping to verify details, monitor work activities, or evaluate performance.

71%Develop work schedules according to budgets and workloads.

69%Research, compile, and prepare reports, manuals, correspondence, or other information required by management or governmental agencies.

65%Prepare and issue work schedules, deadlines, and duty assignments for office or administrative staff.

60%Compute figures such as balances, totals, or commissions.

Wage Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers earns -$17,340(-21%) vs Program Directors

Program DirectorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

10th

$43,060$43,920

25th

$59,810$53,190

Median

$83,480$66,140

75th

$131,160$82,340

90th

$198,530$102,980

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Program Directors2028–2035

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Program Directors has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Program Directors

$57,735

from $83,480

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

$43,573

from $66,140

After adjusting for AI risk, Program Directors offers $14,162 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Program

Unique to First-Line

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity

Decision Complexity

Regulatory Barriers

Fine Manipulation

Program DirectorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

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