Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPump Operators, Except Wellhead PumpersLathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score43.5%39.5%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile89th79th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 146 / 15
Median Salary$60,020$48,620
Employment13K19K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Public Safety and Security
Scheduling Work and Activities
Computers and Electronics
Controlling Machines and Processes
Perceptual Speed
Performing General Physical Activities
Mechanical
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Auditory Attention
Processing Information
Production and Processing

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers

28%

total discount

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers

6 of 14 at risk
88%Record operating data such as products and quantities pumped, stocks used, gauging results, and operating times.
86%Monitor gauges and flowmeters and inspect equipment to ensure that tank levels, temperatures, chemical amounts, and pressures are at specified levels, reporting abnormalities as necessary.
86%Read operating schedules or instructions or receive verbal orders to determine amounts to be pumped.
78%Communicate with other workers, using signals, radios, or telephones, to start and stop flows of materials or substances.
77%Test materials and solutions, using testing equipment.

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

6 of 15 at risk
88%Compute unspecified dimensions and machine settings, using knowledge of metal properties and shop mathematics.
86%Study blueprints, layouts or charts, and job orders for information on specifications and tooling instructions, and to determine material requirements and operational sequences.
86%Select cutting tools and tooling instructions, according to written specifications or knowledge of metal properties and shop mathematics.
85%Program computer numerical control machines.
74%Inspect sample workpieces to verify conformance with specifications, using instruments such as gauges, micrometers, and dial indicators.

Wage Comparison

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic earns -$11,400(-19%) vs Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers
Pump Operators, Except Wellhead PumpersLathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
10th
$37,850$36,200
25th
$47,270$41,180
Median
$60,020$48,620
75th
$75,160$58,100
90th
$89,660$65,450

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers20282035
Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
20242030203520402045

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers

$33,893

from $60,020

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$29,391

from $48,620

After adjusting for AI risk, Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers offers $4,503 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Pump

0

Unique to Lathe

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Pump Operators, Except Wellhead PumpersLathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic