Takeover Tracker
39%medium risk
Retail Salespersons
vs

42 shared · 12 different

core competencies

45%medium risk
Cashiers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRetail SalespersonsCashiers
Risk Score39.5%44.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile79th91th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)10 / 159 / 15
Median Salary$34,580$31,190
Employment3.8M3.1M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Sales and Marketing
PersuasionAI-Resistant
Selling or Influencing Others
NegotiationAI-Resistant
Service OrientationAI-Resistant
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Active Listening
Training and Teaching Others
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Interacting With Computers
English Language
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Retail Salespersons

30%

total discount

Cashiers

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Retail Salespersons

10 of 15 at risk
87%Maintain records related to sales.
86%Prepare sales slips or sales contracts.
85%Compute sales prices, total purchases, and receive and process cash or credit payment.
85%Inventory stock and requisition new stock.
77%Estimate and quote trade-in allowances.

Cashiers

9 of 15 at risk
88%Calculate total payments received during a time period, and reconcile this with total sales.
88%Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.
86%Issue receipts, refunds, credits, or change due to customers.
86%Issue trading stamps and redeem food stamps and coupons.
84%Monitor checkout stations to ensure that they have adequate cash available and that they are staffed appropriately.

Wage Comparison

Cashiers earns -$3,390(-10%) vs Retail Salespersons
Retail SalespersonsCashiers
10th
$25,600$23,070
25th
$29,140$27,780
Median
$34,580$31,190
75th
$37,850$35,410
90th
$47,930$38,220

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Retail Salespersons20282035
Cashiers20282035
20242030203520402045

Retail Salespersons has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Cashiers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Retail Salespersons

$20,928

from $34,580

Cashiers

$17,239

from $31,190

After adjusting for AI risk, Retail Salespersons offers $3,689 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Retail

0

Unique to Cashiers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Retail SalespersonsCashiers