Takeover Tracker
13%low risk
Roofers
vs

58 shared · 14 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRoofersCarpet Installers
Risk Score13.3%15.5%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile0th1th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$50,970$49,850
Employment137K15K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Gross Body Equilibrium
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Developing and Building Teams
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Coaching and Developing Others
Production and Processing
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Roofers

28%

total discount

Carpet Installers

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Roofers

2 of 15 at risk
73%Estimate materials and labor required to complete roofing jobs.
53%Inspect problem roofs to determine the best repair procedures.
13%Waterproof or damp-proof walls, floors, roofs, foundations, or basements by painting or spraying surfaces with waterproof coatings or by attaching waterproofing membranes to surfaces.
13%Apply reflective roof coatings, such as special paints or single-ply roofing sheets, to existing roofs to reduce solar heat absorption.
11%Remove snow, water, or debris from roofs prior to applying roofing materials.

Carpet Installers

3 of 15 at risk
87%Take measurements and study floor sketches to calculate the area to be carpeted and the amount of material needed.
85%Draw building diagrams and record dimensions.
57%Plan the layout of the carpet, allowing for expected traffic patterns and placing seams for best appearance and longest wear.
45%Clean up before and after installation, including vacuuming carpet and discarding remnant pieces.
9%Cut and install vinyl composition tile or vinyl base.

Wage Comparison

Carpet Installers earns -$1,120(-2%) vs Roofers
RoofersCarpet Installers
10th
$37,060$32,830
25th
$45,300$39,140
Median
$50,970$49,850
75th
$64,010$65,530
90th
$80,780$83,200

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Roofers20282035
Carpet Installers20282035
20242030203520402045

Roofers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Carpet Installers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Roofers

$44,201

from $50,970

Carpet Installers

$42,133

from $49,850

After adjusting for AI risk, Roofers offers $2,068 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Roofers

0

Unique to Carpet

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
RoofersCarpet Installers