Side-by-Side Comparison
Roofers leads 4–1| Metric | Rough Carpenters | Roofers |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Score | 23.4% | 13.3% |
| Risk Tier | Low Risk | Low Risk |
| Risk Percentile | 15th | 0th |
| Tasks at Risk (>50%) | 4 / 15 | 2 / 15 |
| Median Salary | $59,310 | $50,970 |
| Employment | 698K | 137K |
Skill Comparison
|
Sorted by largest difference
Production and Processing
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Gross Body Equilibrium
Design
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Visualization
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Selling or Influencing Others
Administration and Management
Protective Factors
Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement
Rough Carpenters
31%
total discount
Roofers
28%
total discount
Task Risk Comparison
Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable
Rough Carpenters
4 of 15 at risk86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.
84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.
62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.
51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.
43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.
Roofers
2 of 15 at risk73%Estimate materials and labor required to complete roofing jobs.
53%Inspect problem roofs to determine the best repair procedures.
13%Waterproof or damp-proof walls, floors, roofs, foundations, or basements by painting or spraying surfaces with waterproof coatings or by attaching waterproofing membranes to surfaces.
13%Apply reflective roof coatings, such as special paints or single-ply roofing sheets, to existing roofs to reduce solar heat absorption.
11%Remove snow, water, or debris from roofs prior to applying roofing materials.
Wage Comparison
Roofers earns -$8,340(-14%) vs Rough Carpenters
Rough CarpentersRoofers
10th
$38,760$37,060
25th
$47,550$45,300
Median
$59,310$50,970
75th
$75,620$64,010
90th
$98,370$80,780
Premium Head-to-Head Analysis
Displacement Timeline Comparison
Rough Carpenters2028–2035
Roofers2028–2035
20242030203520402045
Roofers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Rough Carpenters.
Risk-Adjusted Salary
Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)
Rough Carpenters
$45,414
from $59,310
Roofers
$44,201
from $50,970
After adjusting for AI risk, Rough Carpenters offers $1,212 more in risk-adjusted pay.
Transition Feasibility
1%
Skill Overlap
Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition
0
Unique to Rough
0
Unique to Roofers
Combined Protection Strategy
Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors
Creativity
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Rough CarpentersRoofers