Sailors and Marine Oilers vs Hoist and Winch Operators AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

medium risk

Sailors and Marine Oilers

64 shared · 20 different

core competencies

medium risk

Hoist and Winch Operators

Side-by-Side Comparison

Sailors and Marine Oilers leads 3–2

Metric	Sailors and Marine Oilers	Hoist and Winch Operators
Risk Score	30.7%	33.6%
Risk Tier	Medium Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	43th	60th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	5 / 15	2 / 13
Median Salary	$49,610	$52,310
Employment	31K	2K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Performing General Physical Activities

Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work

Far Vision

Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others

Thinking Creatively

Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment

Making Decisions and Solving Problems

Flexibility of Closure

Analyzing Data or Information

Auditory Attention

Developing Objectives and Strategies

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Sailors and Marine Oilers

30%

total discount

Hoist and Winch Operators

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Sailors and Marine Oilers

5 of 15 at risk

87%Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

87%Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

87%Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

85%Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

85%Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

Hoist and Winch Operators

2 of 13 at risk

84%Select loads or materials according to weight and size specifications.

80%Observe equipment gauges and indicators and hand signals of other workers to verify load positions or depths.

47%Oil winch drums so that cables will wind smoothly.

43%Move levers, pedals, and throttles to stop, start, and regulate speeds of hoist or winch drums in response to hand, bell, buzzer, telephone, loud-speaker, or whistle signals, or by observing dial indicators or cable marks.

43%Apply hand or foot brakes and move levers to lock hoists or winches.

Wage Comparison

Hoist and Winch Operators earns +$2,700(+5%) vs Sailors and Marine Oilers

Sailors and Marine OilersHoist and Winch Operators

10th

$33,350$33,910

25th

$38,450$39,220

Median

$49,610$52,310

75th

$65,370$90,200

90th

$81,890$116,120

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Sailors and Marine Oilers2028–2035

Hoist and Winch Operators2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Sailors and Marine Oilers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Hoist and Winch Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Sailors and Marine Oilers

$34,385

from $49,610

Hoist and Winch Operators

$34,708

from $52,310

After adjusting for AI risk, Hoist and Winch Operators offers $323 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Sailors

Unique to Hoist

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers

Fine Manipulation

Decision Complexity

Social Intelligence

Sailors and Marine OilersHoist and Winch Operators

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