Takeover Tracker
29%medium risk
Security Managers
vs

63 shared · 25 different

core competencies

27%medium risk
Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricSecurity ManagersCriminal Investigators and Special Agents
Risk Score28.7%26.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile32th24th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$136,550$93,580
Employment631K111K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Staffing Organizational Units
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Coaching and Developing Others
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Administration and Management
Scheduling Work and Activities
Developing and Building Teams
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Law and Government
Selling or Influencing Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Security Managers

35%

total discount

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

38%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Security Managers

3 of 15 at risk
67%Communicate security status, updates, and actual or potential problems, using established protocols.
53%Develop budgets for security operations.
51%Develop, conduct, support, or assist in governmental reviews, internal corporate evaluations, or assessments of the overall effectiveness of facility and personnel security processes.
49%Create or implement security standards, policies, and procedures.
49%Direct or participate in emergency management and contingency planning.

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

4 of 15 at risk
70%Obtain and use search and arrest warrants.
69%Prepare reports that detail investigation findings.
57%Examine records to locate links in chains of evidence or information.
53%Identify case issues and evidence needed, based on analysis of charges, complaints, or allegations of law violations.
49%Analyze evidence in laboratories or in the field.

Wage Comparison

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents earns -$42,970(-31%) vs Security Managers
Security ManagersCriminal Investigators and Special Agents
10th
$68,860$54,160
25th
$100,010$68,390
Median
$136,550$93,580
75th
$179,190$120,080
90th
$227,590$159,410

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Security Managers2028–2035
Criminal Investigators and Special Agents2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Security Managers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Security Managers

$97,306

from $136,550

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

$68,557

from $93,580

After adjusting for AI risk, Security Managers offers $28,749 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Security

0

Unique to Criminal

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Security ManagersCriminal Investigators and Special Agents
Find transitions from Security ManagersFind transitions from Criminal Investigators and Special Agents