Takeover Tracker
29%medium risk
Security Managers
vs

61 shared · 25 different

core competencies

25%low risk
Social and Community Service Managers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricSecurity ManagersSocial and Community Service Managers
Risk Score28.7%24.8%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile32th19th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$136,550$78,240
Employment631K195K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Public Safety and Security
Therapy and Counseling
Staffing Organizational Units
Coaching and Developing Others
Selling or Influencing Others
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Law and Government
Sociology and Anthropology
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Security Managers

35%

total discount

Social and Community Service Managers

36%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Security Managers

3 of 15 at risk
67%Communicate security status, updates, and actual or potential problems, using established protocols.
53%Develop budgets for security operations.
51%Develop, conduct, support, or assist in governmental reviews, internal corporate evaluations, or assessments of the overall effectiveness of facility and personnel security processes.
49%Create or implement security standards, policies, and procedures.
49%Direct or participate in emergency management and contingency planning.

Social and Community Service Managers

4 of 15 at risk
72%Prepare and maintain records and reports, such as budgets, personnel records, or training manuals.
53%Act as consultants to agency staff and other community programs regarding the interpretation of program-related federal, state, and county regulations and policies.
53%Analyze proposed legislation, regulations, or rule changes to determine how agency services could be impacted.
51%Plan and administer budgets for programs, equipment, and support services.
48%Research and analyze member or community needs to determine program directions and goals.

Wage Comparison

Social and Community Service Managers earns -$58,310(-43%) vs Security Managers
Security ManagersSocial and Community Service Managers
10th
$68,860$50,020
25th
$100,010$62,420
Median
$136,550$78,240
75th
$179,190$100,600
90th
$227,590$129,820

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Security Managers2028–2035
Social and Community Service Managers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Social and Community Service Managers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Security Managers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Security Managers

$97,306

from $136,550

Social and Community Service Managers

$58,836

from $78,240

After adjusting for AI risk, Security Managers offers $38,469 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Security

0

Unique to Social

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Security ManagersSocial and Community Service Managers
Find transitions from Security ManagersFind transitions from Social and Community Service Managers