Ship and Boat Captains vs First-Line Supervisors of Logging Workers AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

medium risk

Ship and Boat Captains

79 shared · 26 different

core competencies

medium risk

First-Line Supervisors of Logging Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

Ship and Boat Captains leads 4–1

Metric	Ship and Boat Captains	First-Line Supervisors of Logging Workers
Risk Score	27.6%	32.6%
Risk Tier	Medium Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	28th	54th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	8 / 15	5 / 13
Median Salary	$85,540	$59,330
Employment	35K	30K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Spatial Orientation

Assisting and Caring for Others

Repairing and Maintaining Electronic Equipment

Glare Sensitivity

Documenting/Recording Information

Transportation

Geography

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Public Safety and Security

Performing Administrative Activities

Production and Processing

Far Vision

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Ship and Boat Captains

35%

total discount

First-Line Supervisors of Logging Workers

31%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Ship and Boat Captains

8 of 15 at risk

88%Measure depths of water, using depth-measuring equipment.

86%Read gauges to verify sufficient levels of hydraulic fluid, air pressure, or oxygen.

86%Maintain records of daily activities, personnel reports, ship positions and movements, ports of call, weather and sea conditions, pollution control efforts, or cargo or passenger status.

78%Signal passing vessels, using whistles, flashing lights, flags, or radios.

78%Monitor the loading or discharging of cargo or passengers.

First-Line Supervisors of Logging Workers

5 of 13 at risk

87%Prepare production or personnel time records for management.

85%Schedule work crews, equipment, or transportation for several different work locations.

84%Plan or schedule logging operations, such as felling or bucking trees or grading, sorting, yarding, or loading logs.

84%Coordinate the selection and movement of logs from storage areas, according to transportation schedules or production requirements.

78%Coordinate dismantling, moving, and setting up equipment at new work sites.

Wage Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Logging Workers earns -$26,210(-31%) vs Ship and Boat Captains

Ship and Boat CaptainsFirst-Line Supervisors of Logging Workers

10th

$46,260$39,610

25th

$60,800$47,660

Median

$85,540$59,330

75th

$124,530$76,640

90th

$164,230$90,840

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Ship and Boat Captains2028–2035

First-Line Supervisors of Logging Workers2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Ship and Boat Captains has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than First-Line Supervisors of Logging Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Ship and Boat Captains

$61,888

from $85,540

First-Line Supervisors of Logging Workers

$39,965

from $59,330

After adjusting for AI risk, Ship and Boat Captains offers $21,924 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Ship

Unique to First-Line

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers

Social Intelligence

Decision Complexity

Fine Manipulation

Ship and Boat CaptainsFirst-Line Supervisors of Logging Workers

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