Takeover Tracker
28%medium risk
Ship and Boat Captains
vs

50 shared · 53 different

core competencies

24%low risk
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricShip and Boat CaptainsHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Risk Score27.6%23.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile28th16th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$85,540$57,440
Employment35K2.1M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Management of Personnel Resources
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Coaching and Developing Others
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
CoordinationAI-Resistant
Judgment and Decision MakingAI-Augmented
Repairing and Maintaining Electronic Equipment
Assisting and Caring for Others
Written Expression
InstructingAI-Resistant
Monitoring and Controlling Resources

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Ship and Boat Captains

35%

total discount

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Ship and Boat Captains

8 of 15 at risk
88%Measure depths of water, using depth-measuring equipment.
86%Read gauges to verify sufficient levels of hydraulic fluid, air pressure, or oxygen.
86%Maintain records of daily activities, personnel reports, ship positions and movements, ports of call, weather and sea conditions, pollution control efforts, or cargo or passenger status.
78%Signal passing vessels, using whistles, flashing lights, flags, or radios.
78%Monitor the loading or discharging of cargo or passengers.

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

8 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.
88%Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.
88%Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.
88%Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.
86%Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

Wage Comparison

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers earns -$28,100(-33%) vs Ship and Boat Captains
Ship and Boat CaptainsHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
10th
$46,260$38,640
25th
$60,800$47,230
Median
$85,540$57,440
75th
$124,530$65,520
90th
$164,230$78,800

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Ship and Boat Captains2028–2035
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Ship and Boat Captains.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Ship and Boat Captains

$61,888

from $85,540

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

$43,884

from $57,440

After adjusting for AI risk, Ship and Boat Captains offers $18,004 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Ship

0

Unique to Heavy

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Ship and Boat CaptainsHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Find transitions from Ship and Boat CaptainsFind transitions from Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers