Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricSpecial Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary SchoolMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education
Risk Score26.6%25.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile24th21th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$63,000$62,970
Employment232K620K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Getting Information
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Performing Administrative Activities
Interacting With Computers
Thinking Creatively
Processing Information
History and Archeology
Assisting and Caring for Others
Coaching and Developing Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

34%

total discount

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

6 of 15 at risk
84%Maintain accurate and complete student records as required by laws, district policies, or administrative regulations.
71%Prepare reports on students and activities as required by administration.
71%Prepare, administer, or grade tests or assignments to evaluate students' progress.
55%Modify the general kindergarten or elementary education curriculum for special-needs students.
53%Develop individual educational plans (IEPs) designed to promote students' educational, physical, or social development.

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

8 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain accurate, complete, and correct student records as required by laws, district policies, and administrative regulations.
70%Use computers, audio-visual aids, and other equipment and materials to supplement presentations.
67%Prepare, administer, and grade tests and assignments to evaluate students' progress.
56%Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
55%Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects, and communicate these objectives to students.

Wage Comparison

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education earns -$30(0%) vs Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School
Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary SchoolMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education
10th
$47,590$47,050
25th
$57,050$53,540
Median
$63,000$62,970
75th
$79,320$79,380
90th
$100,620$100,980

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School20282035
Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education20282035
20242030203520402045

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

$46,242

from $63,000

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

$46,799

from $62,970

After adjusting for AI risk, Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education offers $557 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Special

0

Unique to Middle

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary SchoolMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education