Takeover Tracker
vs

53 shared · 10 different

core competencies

20%low risk
Upholsterers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricTile and Marble SettersUpholsterers
Risk Score26.5%20.0%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile23th7th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$52,240$46,190
Employment39K21K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Arm-Hand Steadiness
Finger Dexterity
Visual Color Discrimination
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Building and Construction
Production and Processing
Performing General Physical Activities
Manual DexterityAI-Resistant
Multilimb Coordination
Control Precision

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Tile and Marble Setters

26%

total discount

Upholsterers

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Tile and Marble Setters

3 of 15 at risk
85%Prepare cost and labor estimates, based on calculations of time and materials needed for project.
71%Study blueprints and examine surface to be covered to determine amount of material needed.
53%Determine and implement the best layout to achieve a desired pattern.
41%Measure and mark surfaces to be tiled, following blueprints.
41%Level concrete and allow to dry.

Upholsterers

3 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain records of time required to perform each job.
86%Read work orders, and apply knowledge and experience with materials to determine types and amounts of materials required to cover workpieces.
55%Design upholstery cover patterns and cutting plans, based on sketches, customer descriptions, or blueprints.
47%Draw cutting lines on material following patterns, templates, sketches, or blueprints, using chalk, pencils, paint, or other methods.
41%Operate sewing machines or sew upholstery by hand to seam cushions and join various sections of covering material.

Wage Comparison

Upholsterers earns -$6,050(-12%) vs Tile and Marble Setters
Tile and Marble SettersUpholsterers
10th
$36,140$32,190
25th
$44,540$37,200
Median
$52,240$46,190
75th
$64,980$51,740
90th
$82,960$63,600

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Tile and Marble Setters20282035
Upholsterers20282035
20242030203520402045

Upholsterers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Tile and Marble Setters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Tile and Marble Setters

$38,407

from $52,240

Upholsterers

$36,943

from $46,190

After adjusting for AI risk, Tile and Marble Setters offers $1,464 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Tile

0

Unique to Upholsterers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Tile and Marble SettersUpholsterers