Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials vs Gaming Dealers AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

medium risk

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials

38 shared · 19 different

core competencies

medium risk

Gaming Dealers

Side-by-Side Comparison

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials leads 5–0

Metric	Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials	Gaming Dealers
Risk Score	39.7%	49.1%
Risk Tier	Medium Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	80th	96th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	10 / 15	12 / 15
Median Salary	$38,820	$33,280
Employment	15K	83K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Making Decisions and Solving Problems

Coaching and Developing Others

Customer and Personal Service

Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others

Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Training and Teaching Others

MathematicsAI-Vulnerable

Far Vision

Performing General Physical Activities

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates

Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials

28%

total discount

Gaming Dealers

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials

10 of 15 at risk

88%Keep track of event times, including race times and elapsed time during game segments, starting or stopping play when necessary.

88%Verify scoring calculations before competition winners are announced.

88%Compile scores and other athletic records.

86%Report to regulating organizations regarding sporting activities, complaints made, and actions taken or needed such as fines or other disciplinary actions.

86%Verify credentials of participants in sporting events, and make other qualifying determinations such as starting order or handicap number.

Gaming Dealers

12 of 15 at risk

88%Pay winnings or collect losing bets as established by the rules and procedures of a specific game.

88%Deal cards to house hands, and compare these with players' hands to determine winners, as in black jack.

88%Conduct gambling games, such as dice, roulette, cards, or keno, following all applicable rules and regulations.

88%Check to ensure that all players have placed bets before play begins.

88%Apply rule variations to card games such as poker, in which players bet on the value of their hands.

Wage Comparison

Gaming Dealers earns -$5,540(-14%) vs Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports OfficialsGaming Dealers

10th

$25,070$22,340

25th

$30,920$24,480

Median

$38,820$33,280

75th

$53,560$45,430

90th

$93,180$73,530

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials2028–2035

Gaming Dealers2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Gaming Dealers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials

$23,401

from $38,820

Gaming Dealers

$16,953

from $33,280

After adjusting for AI risk, Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials offers $6,448 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Umpires,

Unique to Gaming

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation

Decision Complexity

Creativity

Regulatory Barriers

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports OfficialsGaming Dealers

Find transitions from Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials Find transitions from Gaming Dealers