Takeover Tracker
20%low risk
Upholsterers
vs

27 shared · 24 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricUpholsterersSewing Machine Operators
Risk Score20.0%43.4%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile7th89th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 1510 / 15
Median Salary$46,190$36,000
Employment21K110K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Thinking Creatively
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Performing General Physical Activities
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Static Strength
Visual Color Discrimination
Production and Processing
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Finger Dexterity

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Upholsterers

28%

total discount

Sewing Machine Operators

22%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Upholsterers

3 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain records of time required to perform each job.
86%Read work orders, and apply knowledge and experience with materials to determine types and amounts of materials required to cover workpieces.
55%Design upholstery cover patterns and cutting plans, based on sketches, customer descriptions, or blueprints.
47%Draw cutting lines on material following patterns, templates, sketches, or blueprints, using chalk, pencils, paint, or other methods.
41%Operate sewing machines or sew upholstery by hand to seam cushions and join various sections of covering material.

Sewing Machine Operators

10 of 15 at risk
88%Record quantities of materials processed.
86%Select supplies such as fasteners and thread, according to job requirements.
84%Match cloth pieces in correct sequences prior to sewing them, and verify that dye lots and patterns match.
84%Examine and measure finished articles to verify conformance to standards, using rulers.
80%Inspect garments, and examine repair tags and markings on garments to locate defects or damage, and mark errors as necessary.

Wage Comparison

Sewing Machine Operators earns -$10,190(-22%) vs Upholsterers
UpholsterersSewing Machine Operators
10th
$32,190$26,860
25th
$37,200$31,200
Median
$46,190$36,000
75th
$51,740$40,810
90th
$63,600$47,060

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Upholsterers20282035
Sewing Machine Operators20282035
20242030203520402045

Upholsterers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Sewing Machine Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Upholsterers

$36,943

from $46,190

Sewing Machine Operators

$20,376

from $36,000

After adjusting for AI risk, Upholsterers offers $16,567 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Upholsterers

0

Unique to Sewing

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
UpholsterersSewing Machine Operators