Takeover Tracker
vs

8 shared · 74 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricAirline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight EngineersBus Drivers, School or Special Client
Risk Score34.3%24.8%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile63th19th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 157 / 15
Median Salary$226,600N/A
Employment99KN/A

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Controlling Machines and Processes
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Operation and Control
Processing Information
Response Orientation
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Operation Monitoring
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Rate Control

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers

34%

total discount

Bus Drivers, School or Special Client

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers

6 of 15 at risk
88%Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.
86%Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.
86%Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.
84%Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.
82%Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

Bus Drivers, School or Special Client

7 of 15 at risk
88%Record bus routes.
88%Prepare and submit reports that may include the number of passengers or trips, hours worked, mileage, fuel consumption, or fares received.
86%Report any bus malfunctions or needed repairs.
70%Report delinquent student behaviors to school administration.
70%Maintain knowledge of first-aid procedures.

Wage Comparison

Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight EngineersBus Drivers, School or Special Client
10th
$98,560N/A
25th
$154,360N/A
Median
$226,600N/A
75th
$239,200N/A
90th
$239,200N/A

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers20282035
Bus Drivers, School or Special Client20282035
20242030203520402045

Bus Drivers, School or Special Client has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Airline

0

Unique to Bus

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Decision Complexity
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight EngineersBus Drivers, School or Special Client