Takeover Tracker
35%medium risk
Archivists
vs

42 shared · 28 different

core competencies

34%medium risk
Historians

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricArchivistsHistorians
Risk Score35.0%33.9%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile66th62th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 137 / 15
Median Salary$61,570$74,050
Employment7K3K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Thinking Creatively
Reading ComprehensionAI-Vulnerable
Geography
Handling and Moving Objects
Written Comprehension
Law and Government
Oral Expression
Staffing Organizational Units
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Archivists

28%

total discount

Historians

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Archivists

5 of 13 at risk
69%Prepare archival records, such as document descriptions, to allow easy access to information.
68%Create and maintain accessible, retrievable computer archives and databases, incorporating current advances in electronic information storage technology.
53%Specialize in an area of history or technology, researching topics or items relevant to collections to determine what should be retained or acquired.
53%Research and record the origins and historical significance of archival materials.
51%Authenticate and appraise historical documents and archival materials.

Historians

7 of 15 at risk
86%Edit historical society publications.
55%Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.
53%Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.
53%Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.
52%Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

Wage Comparison

Historians earns +$12,480(+20%) vs Archivists
ArchivistsHistorians
10th
$39,330$38,630
25th
$47,890$55,190
Median
$61,570$74,050
75th
$79,850$96,330
90th
$104,780$128,500

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Archivists20282035
Historians20282035
20242030203520402045

Historians has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Archivists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Archivists

$40,051

from $61,570

Historians

$48,962

from $74,050

After adjusting for AI risk, Historians offers $8,911 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Archivists

0

Unique to Historians

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
ArchivistsHistorians