Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCareer/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary SchoolMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education
Risk Score27.4%25.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile26th21th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$63,910$62,970
Employment104K620K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Performing General Physical Activities
Customer and Personal Service
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
History and Archeology
Category Flexibility
Education and Training
Personnel and Human Resources
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Interacting With Computers

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School

36%

total discount

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School

5 of 15 at risk
85%Maintain accurate and complete student records as required by law, district policy, and administrative regulations.
70%Use computers, audio-visual aids, and other equipment and materials to supplement presentations.
69%Assign and grade class work and homework.
67%Prepare, administer, and grade tests and assignments to evaluate students' progress.
53%Prepare objectives and outlines for courses of study, following curriculum guidelines or requirements of states and schools.

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

8 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain accurate, complete, and correct student records as required by laws, district policies, and administrative regulations.
70%Use computers, audio-visual aids, and other equipment and materials to supplement presentations.
67%Prepare, administer, and grade tests and assignments to evaluate students' progress.
56%Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
55%Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects, and communicate these objectives to students.

Wage Comparison

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education earns -$940(-1%) vs Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School
Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary SchoolMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education
10th
$48,840$47,050
25th
$58,840$53,540
Median
$63,910$62,970
75th
$78,650$79,380
90th
$98,720$100,980

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School20282035
Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education20282035
20242030203520402045

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School

$46,411

from $63,910

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

$46,799

from $62,970

After adjusting for AI risk, Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education offers $388 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Career/Technical

0

Unique to Middle

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary SchoolMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education