Chefs and Head Cooks vs First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

medium risk

Chefs and Head Cooks

74 shared · 21 different

core competencies

medium risk

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

Chefs and Head Cooks leads 4–0

Metric	Chefs and Head Cooks	First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers
Risk Score	28.7%	35.2%
Risk Tier	Medium Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	32th	66th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	8 / 15	8 / 15
Median Salary	$60,990	$47,320
Employment	182K	1.1M

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Customer and Personal Service

Thinking Creatively

Production and Processing

Monitoring and Controlling Resources

Performing General Physical Activities

Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work

Handling and Moving Objects

Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Clerical

Economics and Accounting

Selling or Influencing Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Chefs and Head Cooks

34%

total discount

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers

31%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Chefs and Head Cooks

8 of 15 at risk

86%Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

85%Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

75%Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

73%Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

72%Check the quantity and quality of received products.

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers

8 of 15 at risk

88%Keep records of purchases, sales, and requisitions.

88%Inventory stock and reorder when inventory drops to a specified level.

87%Review inventory and sales records to prepare reports for management and budget departments.

86%Plan and prepare work schedules and keep records of employees' work schedules and time cards.

80%Assign employees to specific duties.

Wage Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers earns -$13,670(-22%) vs Chefs and Head Cooks

Chefs and Head CooksFirst-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers

10th

$36,000$31,120

25th

$47,710$37,580

Median

$60,990$47,320

75th

$76,790$60,510

90th

$96,030$76,560

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Chefs and Head Cooks2028–2035

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Chefs and Head Cooks has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Chefs and Head Cooks

$43,510

from $60,990

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers

$30,673

from $47,320

After adjusting for AI risk, Chefs and Head Cooks offers $12,837 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Chefs

Unique to First-Line

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation

Creativity

Social Intelligence

Decision Complexity

Chefs and Head CooksFirst-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers

Find transitions from Chefs and Head Cooks Find transitions from First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers