Takeover Tracker
26%medium risk
Chief Executives
vs

42 shared · 50 different

core competencies

25%medium risk
Sales Managers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricChief ExecutivesSales Managers
Risk Score26.3%25.1%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile23th20th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$206,420$138,060
Employment212K604K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Sales and Marketing
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Management of Financial Resources
Law and Government
Judgment and Decision MakingAI-Augmented
Selling or Influencing Others
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Training and Teaching Others
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Management of Material Resources
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Personnel and Human Resources

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Chief Executives

37%

total discount

Sales Managers

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Chief Executives

6 of 15 at risk
77%Refer major policy matters to elected representatives for final decisions.
55%Direct, plan, or implement policies, objectives, or activities of organizations or businesses to ensure continuing operations, to maximize returns on investments, or to increase productivity.
51%Analyze operations to evaluate performance of a company or its staff in meeting objectives or to determine areas of potential cost reduction, program improvement, or policy change.
51%Prepare budgets for approval, including those for funding or implementation of programs.
51%Coordinate the development or implementation of budgetary control systems, recordkeeping systems, or other administrative control processes.

Sales Managers

5 of 15 at risk
84%Direct clerical staff to keep records of export correspondence, bid requests, and credit collections, and to maintain current information on tariffs, licenses, and restrictions.
83%Direct, coordinate, and review activities in sales and service accounting and record-keeping, and in receiving and shipping operations.
55%Monitor customer preferences to determine focus of sales efforts.
53%Assess marketing potential of new and existing store locations, considering statistics and expenditures.
50%Review operational records and reports to project sales and determine profitability.

Wage Comparison

Sales Managers earns -$68,360(-33%) vs Chief Executives
Chief ExecutivesSales Managers
10th
$73,710$66,910
25th
$126,080$95,910
Median
$206,420$138,060
75th
$239,200$201,490
90th
$239,200$239,200

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Chief Executives20282035
Sales Managers20282035
20242030203520402045

Sales Managers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Chief Executives.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Chief Executives

$152,214

from $206,420

Sales Managers

$103,352

from $138,060

After adjusting for AI risk, Chief Executives offers $48,862 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Chief

0

Unique to Sales

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Chief ExecutivesSales Managers