Takeover Tracker
30%medium risk
Correctional Officers and Jailers
vs

56 shared · 24 different

core competencies

40%medium risk
Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCorrectional Officers and JailersUmpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials
Risk Score30.2%39.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile40th80th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 1510 / 15
Median Salary$57,970$38,820
Employment365K15K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Public Safety and Security
Documenting/Recording Information
Assisting and Caring for Others
Clerical
Computers and Electronics
Scheduling Work and Activities
Static Strength
Social PerceptivenessAI-Resistant
Interacting With Computers
Reaction Time
Psychology
Performing General Physical Activities

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Correctional Officers and Jailers

33%

total discount

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Correctional Officers and Jailers

7 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain records of prisoners' identification and charges.
86%Process or book convicted individuals into prison.
86%Record information, such as prisoner identification, charges, and incidences of inmate disturbance, and keep daily logs of prisoner activities.
80%Conduct head counts to ensure that each prisoner is present.
78%Guard facility entrances to screen visitors.

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials

10 of 15 at risk
88%Keep track of event times, including race times and elapsed time during game segments, starting or stopping play when necessary.
88%Verify scoring calculations before competition winners are announced.
88%Compile scores and other athletic records.
86%Report to regulating organizations regarding sporting activities, complaints made, and actions taken or needed such as fines or other disciplinary actions.
86%Verify credentials of participants in sporting events, and make other qualifying determinations such as starting order or handicap number.

Wage Comparison

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials earns -$19,150(-33%) vs Correctional Officers and Jailers
Correctional Officers and JailersUmpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials
10th
$41,750$25,070
25th
$47,520$30,920
Median
$57,970$38,820
75th
$75,330$53,560
90th
$93,000$93,180

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Correctional Officers and Jailers2028–2035
Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Correctional Officers and Jailers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Correctional Officers and Jailers

$40,446

from $57,970

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials

$23,401

from $38,820

After adjusting for AI risk, Correctional Officers and Jailers offers $17,045 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Correctional

0

Unique to Umpires,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Correctional Officers and JailersUmpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials
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