Takeover Tracker
31%medium risk
Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School
vs

50 shared · 36 different

core competencies

26%medium risk
Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricEducation Administrators, Elementary and Secondary SchoolMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education
Risk Score31.4%25.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile47th21th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$104,070$62,970
Employment320K620K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Personnel and Human Resources
Performing Administrative Activities
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Administration and Management
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Management of Personnel Resources
Systems Evaluation
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Developing and Building Teams

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School

37%

total discount

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School

3 of 15 at risk
53%Determine the scope of educational program offerings, and prepare drafts of course schedules and descriptions to estimate staffing and facility requirements.
53%Plan and develop instructional methods and content for educational, vocational, or student activity programs.
51%Create school improvement plans by using student performance data.
49%Set educational standards and goals, and help establish policies and procedures to carry them out.
47%Evaluate curricula, teaching methods, and programs to determine their effectiveness, efficiency, and use, and to ensure that school activities comply with federal, state, and local regulations.

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

8 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain accurate, complete, and correct student records as required by laws, district policies, and administrative regulations.
70%Use computers, audio-visual aids, and other equipment and materials to supplement presentations.
67%Prepare, administer, and grade tests and assignments to evaluate students' progress.
56%Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
55%Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects, and communicate these objectives to students.

Wage Comparison

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education earns -$41,100(-39%) vs Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School
Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary SchoolMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education
10th
$72,400$47,050
25th
$83,840$53,540
Median
$104,070$62,970
75th
$132,550$79,380
90th
$165,820$100,980

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School2028–2035
Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School

$71,402

from $104,070

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

$46,799

from $62,970

After adjusting for AI risk, Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School offers $24,603 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Education

0

Unique to Middle

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary SchoolMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education
Find transitions from Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary SchoolFind transitions from Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education