Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricFirst-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support WorkersFirst-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers
Risk Score34.1%35.2%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile62th66th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$66,140$47,320
Employment1.5M1.1M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Processing Information
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Sales and Marketing
Interacting With Computers
Selling or Influencing Others
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Customer and Personal Service
Clerical
Written Comprehension
Thinking Creatively
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Documenting/Recording Information

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

33%

total discount

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers

31%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

6 of 15 at risk
86%Review records or reports pertaining to activities such as production, payroll, or shipping to verify details, monitor work activities, or evaluate performance.
71%Develop work schedules according to budgets and workloads.
69%Research, compile, and prepare reports, manuals, correspondence, or other information required by management or governmental agencies.
65%Prepare and issue work schedules, deadlines, and duty assignments for office or administrative staff.
60%Compute figures such as balances, totals, or commissions.

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers

8 of 15 at risk
88%Keep records of purchases, sales, and requisitions.
88%Inventory stock and reorder when inventory drops to a specified level.
87%Review inventory and sales records to prepare reports for management and budget departments.
86%Plan and prepare work schedules and keep records of employees' work schedules and time cards.
80%Assign employees to specific duties.

Wage Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers earns -$18,820(-28%) vs First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers
First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support WorkersFirst-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers
10th
$43,920$31,120
25th
$53,190$37,580
Median
$66,140$47,320
75th
$82,340$60,510
90th
$102,980$76,560

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers20282035
First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers20282035
20242030203520402045

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

$43,573

from $66,140

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers

$30,673

from $47,320

After adjusting for AI risk, First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers offers $12,900 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to First-Line

0

Unique to First-Line

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support WorkersFirst-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers