First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives vs Recreation Workers AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

medium risk

First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives

47 shared · 43 different

core competencies

low risk

Recreation Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

Recreation Workers leads 4–1

Metric	First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives	Recreation Workers
Risk Score	27.6%	22.7%
Risk Tier	Medium Risk	Low Risk
Risk Percentile	28th	13th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	5 / 15	4 / 15
Median Salary	$105,980	$35,380
Employment	153K	310K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Law and Government

Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates

Public Safety and Security

Personnel and Human Resources

Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment

Communicating with Persons Outside Organization

Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others

Customer and Personal Service

Making Decisions and Solving Problems

Administration and Management

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives

38%

total discount

Recreation Workers

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives

5 of 15 at risk

86%Maintain logs, prepare reports, and direct the preparation, handling, and maintenance of departmental records.

86%Prepare work schedules and assign duties to subordinates.

76%Direct release or transfer of prisoners.

74%Direct collection, preparation, and handling of evidence and personal property of prisoners.

53%Prepare budgets and manage expenditures of department funds.

Recreation Workers

4 of 15 at risk

86%Complete and maintain time and attendance forms and inventory lists.

86%Schedule maintenance and use of facilities.

84%Document individuals' progress toward meeting their treatment goals.

51%Assess the needs and interests of individuals and groups and plan activities accordingly, given the available equipment or facilities.

49%Evaluate recreation areas, facilities, and services to determine if they are producing desired results.

Wage Comparison

Recreation Workers earns -$70,600(-67%) vs First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives

First-Line Supervisors of Police and DetectivesRecreation Workers

10th

$62,370$25,640

25th

$80,940$30,460

Median

$105,980$35,380

75th

$133,520$41,120

90th

$165,050$49,460

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives2028–2035

Recreation Workers2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Recreation Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives

$76,687

from $105,980

Recreation Workers

$27,335

from $35,380

After adjusting for AI risk, First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives offers $49,353 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to First-Line

Unique to Recreation

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers

Decision Complexity

Fine Manipulation

Social Intelligence

First-Line Supervisors of Police and DetectivesRecreation Workers

Find transitions from First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives Find transitions from Recreation Workers