Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricForest Fire Fighting and Prevention SupervisorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers
Risk Score26.2%25.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile22th21th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$92,430$78,690
Employment94K806K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Performing General Physical Activities
Production and Processing
Assisting and Caring for Others
Building and Construction
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Handling and Moving Objects
Law and Government
Training and Teaching Others
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Education and Training

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors

37%

total discount

First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers

32%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors

5 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain knowledge of forest fire laws and fire prevention techniques and tactics.
84%Schedule employee work assignments and set work priorities.
55%Evaluate size, location, and condition of forest fires.
55%Observe fires or crews from air to determine firefighting force requirements or to note changing conditions that will affect firefighting efforts.
51%Analyze burn conditions and results, and prepare postburn reports.

First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers

4 of 15 at risk
86%Order or requisition materials or supplies.
86%Arrange for repairs of equipment or machinery.
62%Record information such as personnel, production, or operational data on specified forms or reports.
51%Estimate material or worker requirements to complete jobs.
49%Read specifications, such as blueprints, to determine construction requirements or to plan procedures.

Wage Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers earns -$13,740(-15%) vs Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors
Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention SupervisorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers
10th
$53,970$51,290
25th
$72,240$62,400
Median
$92,430$78,690
75th
$115,990$100,200
90th
$142,300$126,690

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors20282035
First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers20282035
20242030203520402045

First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors

$68,241

from $92,430

First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers

$58,459

from $78,690

After adjusting for AI risk, Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors offers $9,782 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Forest

0

Unique to First-Line

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention SupervisorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers