Municipal Firefighters vs Sailors and Marine Oilers AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

low risk

Municipal Firefighters

79 shared · 35 different

core competencies

medium risk

Sailors and Marine Oilers

Side-by-Side Comparison

Municipal Firefighters leads 5–0

Metric	Municipal Firefighters	Sailors and Marine Oilers
Risk Score	17.7%	30.7%
Risk Tier	Low Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	3th	43th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	0 / 15	5 / 15
Median Salary	$59,530	$49,610
Employment	332K	31K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Customer and Personal Service

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Public Safety and Security

Assisting and Caring for Others

Education and Training

Medicine and Dentistry

Communicating with Persons Outside Organization

Telecommunications

Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships

Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

English Language

Law and Government

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Municipal Firefighters

37%

total discount

Sailors and Marine Oilers

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Municipal Firefighters

0 of 15 at risk

39%Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

39%Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

33%Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

31%Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

17%Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

Sailors and Marine Oilers

5 of 15 at risk

87%Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

87%Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

87%Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

85%Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

85%Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

Wage Comparison

Sailors and Marine Oilers earns -$9,920(-17%) vs Municipal Firefighters

Municipal FirefightersSailors and Marine Oilers

10th

$34,490$33,350

25th

$44,180$38,450

Median

$59,530$49,610

75th

$77,410$65,370

90th

$101,330$81,890

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Municipal Firefighters2028–2035

Sailors and Marine Oilers2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Municipal Firefighters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Sailors and Marine Oilers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Municipal Firefighters

$48,993

from $59,530

Sailors and Marine Oilers

$34,385

from $49,610

After adjusting for AI risk, Municipal Firefighters offers $14,608 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Municipal

Unique to Sailors

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers

Social Intelligence

Creativity

Fine Manipulation

Municipal FirefightersSailors and Marine Oilers

Find transitions from Municipal Firefighters Find transitions from Sailors and Marine Oilers